Japan’s largest exporter of photovoltaic products, PV

Sun Guangbin, secretary general of the China Solar Energy Products Import and Export Chamber of Commerce, said at the IntersolarChina2014 seminar that in 2013, China's PV product export pattern changed, the proportion of traditional markets declined and the proportion of emerging markets increased, and Asia became the largest export market.

According to the statistics of the export market of photovoltaic products released by Sun Guangbin, in 2013, the proportion of European exports of China's largest PV market in the overseas PV industry has dropped from 70% at the peak to 30.26%. The Asian market has replaced it with an export ratio of 44.78. %. Among them, Japan accounts for 25% and is the largest exporter of PV products in China. In January-February 2014, the Asian market accounted for 52% of exports, of which Japan accounted for 34%, still the largest exporter of PV products in China, and the European market accounted for 22%. Overall, it continued the trend of last year.

Sun Guangbin said that from the perspective of trade methods, in 2013, the general trade mode of PV products was 41.03%, and the processing trade mode was 53.33%. The proportion of general trade is low, indicating that the competitiveness of domestic PV manufacturing enterprises is still weak, and exports are still unstable in the future.

Li Junfeng, director of the Renewable Energy Professional Committee of China Resources Comprehensive Utilization Association, judged that within three to five years, even within 10 years, both the Japanese market and the Indian market will be better PV markets.

Domestic distributed PV problems

According to the targets issued by the National Energy Administration, China's distributed photovoltaics will reach 8 GW this year, exceeding the independent photovoltaic power station (6 GW). In the industry view, the domestic market, European and American markets, and emerging markets will each consume one-third of China's PV products.

Chen Kangping, CEO of Jinko Energy Co., Ltd. told reporters that the current distributed PV price subsidy has been converted from the original “Golden Sun” installed subsidy to a distributed power generation subsidy. As an independent operation and self-financing company, it must seek market capital support. However, most banks are not optimistic about current policies and status quo. In his view, the development of distributed photovoltaic power generation still faces many problems to be solved, such as financing difficulties, the collection of electricity charges for multiple owners, the efficient roof resources, and the lack of stable expected returns.

"According to the general experience, distributed power generation project companies must bear at least 20% of the start-up capital, nearly 80% of the funds need market financing support, and most banks have a wait-and-see attitude toward distributed photovoltaic power generation," Chen Kangping said.

Wang Sicheng, a researcher at the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, summarized the current problems of distributed PV as low yields, difficult to find roofs, difficult financing, transaction risks, grid support, difficult filing, and long-term stability of the load.

Talking about the 8 GW of distributed PV targets, Li Junfeng said that it is difficult to achieve the goal. "In the final analysis, the key to cracking the financing difficulties lies in the fact that the distributed PV project itself must be profitable."

Li Junfeng believes that the grid can play a key role in cracking the bottleneck of distributed photovoltaics. “Especially in terms of cash flow, the grid needs to be used to ensure transparency of its cash flow. Currently, for banks, only the transparency of cash flow is not enough.”

Overcapacity still exists

At the IntersolarChina2014 seminar, some PV companies said that most of China's PV manufacturing companies have adopted a mode of meager profit expansion, but this model is difficult to sustain, and the risks have begun to appear.

Li Junfeng believes that enterprises must have sufficient profit margins to ensure innovation investment. Micro-profit can temporarily win the market, but in the end it is likely to be eliminated. In his view, low-price competition is an expression of the extremely incompetent performance of China's equipment manufacturing industry. "The end result is that the best products have a market, just like cars, the best selling is the best quality car, not the cheapest car, electric equipment should be the same, the most market is the most quality Good equipment, not the cheapest equipment. You may have taken the market at first, but in the end you will be eliminated by the market."

In response to the problem of overcapacity in photovoltaics, Li Junfeng said that the power equipment is a product with strong homogenization. The products of this system are about 3-5 producers, and the maximum number is no more than 10. Far greater than this number, to a large extent also requires mergers and restructuring.

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