BHP Billiton (BHP), the world's largest miner, reported on May 21 that it is estimated that by 2035, the number of electric vehicles in the world will reach at least 132 million; by 2050, the number of electric vehicles will reach 561 million. Huw McKay, BHP Billiton's vice president of economics and market analysis, said that by 2035, electric vehicle sales will account for at least 7% of global auto sales, up from the company's original forecast of 5%; By 2050, the number of electric vehicle ownership is estimated to account for 27% of the total vehicle, which is also higher than the company's previous report of 21%, due to expected battery cost decline, and car manufacturers' interest in producing electric vehicles. Increase the impact.
McKay said that all of the above are only the lowest estimates, because the growth rate of electric vehicles depends largely on the speed of infrastructure construction. Under the high growth model, the cars sold worldwide in 2050 will be electric vehicles. The number of electric vehicles is also expected to reach 700 million in 2035 and 1.6 billion in 2050.
The report compares the development of the electric vehicle market in the future with the smartphone market. The key point of the growth of electric vehicles is that electric vehicles can be better than traditional vehicles. The most decisive factor is the battery, including cost, mileage and charging. Will determine when electric vehicles will be generally accepted by consumers.
Australia's two major miners BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto are turning their attention to electric vehicle battery metal. BHP Billiton once considered the assets of Nickel West, and finally decided to operate on its own because the nickel price failed to find a suitable buyer. The company believes that with the development of the electric vehicle industry, it will help to improve single charge. Nickel demand for mileage can also increase, and nickel demand from the electric vehicle market is expected to accelerate from 2020. Rio Tinto said that the company's Jadar lithium mine project in Serbia is expected to complete the feasibility assessment within 18 months.
Alex Laugharne, Principal Consultant of the UK Commodity Research Institute (CRU Group), said that in the next 5-10 years, the electric car revolution will dominate the nickel market and drive nickel prices higher, which may lead to nickel market There is a supply gap. Langhani pointed out that although the current nickel consumption in the electric vehicle market only accounts for a small proportion of total consumption, it is the market with the fastest growth in demand.
Langhani said that China is currently a major producer of battery-related metals and accounts for 85% of global lithium battery production. The Chinese government's adjustment of electric vehicle subsidy policy has prompted car manufacturers to produce higher-end products and compete with international car manufacturers. electric car.
The International Nickel Study Group (INSG), a UN agency, estimates that the global nickel market will have a shortage of 84,000 tons in 2019. The supply gap has narrowed from 146,000 tons last year, mainly due to increased supply in Indonesia. The impact, but will be the fourth consecutive year of supply shortages in the nickel market.
According to the report, Indonesia's nickel ore production increased by 71% last year, driving a strong growth in ferronickel production in the country. In addition, China's nickel production has continued to grow. In the first quarter of this year, China's nickel production increased by 12% to 175,000 tons. In the demand side, the main use of nickel is still in the production of stainless steel, and this year's global stainless steel production is estimated to increase by 5.5%.
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Cold applied coating tape Composition:It is tape-shaped anticorrosion material made of Polyethylene film heat laminated with adhesive layer of butyl glue.
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