Abstract core note: The market for electrolytic manganese is relatively stable this week. Although the demand for electrolytic manganese has not improved substantially, but due to the support of cost and spot supply, the manufacturers' prices have gradually stabilized, and market confidence has also been restored. Silicon-manganese and ferromanganese The prices are relatively stable, the spot transaction is not much, the city...
Core Tip: This week, the market for electrolytic manganese is relatively stable. Although the demand for electrolytic manganese has not improved substantially, but due to the support of the obvious decline in cost and spot supply, manufacturers' prices have gradually stabilized, and market confidence has also recovered. Silicon-manganese and ferromanganese prices have been restored. Both are relatively stable, the spot transaction is not much, the market is slightly calm; the price of imported manganese ore is relatively stable, although the demand is still weak, but the trend of the mine price has slowed down. First, price monitoring
1. Electrolytic manganese
From July 15th to July 19th, the price of electrolytic manganese was stable this week, and the willingness of manufacturers to cut prices was significantly reduced. On July 19th, the factory price of the factory in Jishou area was 11500-11600 yuan / ton.
The market for electrolytic manganese was relatively stable this week. Although the demand for electrolytic manganese has not improved substantially, but due to the support of the obvious decline in cost and spot supply, manufacturers' prices have gradually stabilized, and market confidence has also recovered. At present, the electrolytic manganese manufacturers still have no way to stop production and stop production capacity, mainly because the demand is not optimistic, and the market outlook is difficult to pick up.
This week, the export market for electrolytic manganese is still relatively sluggish, and actual demand is not improving. Foreign investors are still suppressing the export price. At present, the export price of electrolytic manganese is 1975-2025 US dollars / ton.
In terms of raw materials, the prices of manganese ore, sulfuric acid and selenium dioxide have not changed much this week. On July 19, 98% of the price of selenium dioxide was 260-265 yuan/kg, and the price of 98% sulfuric acid in Hunan area was 380-430 yuan/ton.
From July 15th to July 19th, the prices of silicomanganese and ferromanganese were relatively stable this week, and there were not many spot transactions, and the market was slightly calm. On July 19th, the ex-factory acceptance price of Guizhou and Hunan silicon-manganese 6517 including tax was 6600-6800 yuan/ton, and the factory acceptance price of Ningxia and Inner Mongolia silicon-manganese 6517 including tax was 6650-6850 yuan/ton, and southern silicon manganese 6014 did not include tax. The price is quoted at 5350-5500 yuan/ton. The factory price of a group of phosphorus containing high carbon ferromanganese 65C7 in Hunan and Guizhou is 6100-6200 yuan/ton.
This week, the price of silicomanganese 6517 was stable, the downstream demand did not increase, and the operating rate of the factory did not change significantly. In some areas, the production capacity of the manufacturers was low, so the spot stock of silicomanganese was not much. The price of silicomanganese 6014 was still low, and the spot demand was not good. Maintain at a low level.
It is understood that Guangdong Shaogang has taken the lead in launching the August silico-manganese tender, and this time it is preparing to purchase 5,000 tons of silicomanganese 6517, and the purchase volume has increased by 1,500 tons compared with the previous month. At present, some silicon-manganese manufacturers have a small inventory of stocks, which may increase the difficulty of purchasing steel mills in August, while the price of imported manganese ore is obviously weakened. This will also be the reason for steel mills to suppress the price of silico-manganese. It is expected that the steel mills will be in August. The price of silico-manganese bidding has not changed much from last month.
The price of ferromanganese was stable this week, demand was still flat, and the market did not improve significantly. Next week, steel mills will start purchasing ferromanganese one after another. Recently, the ferromanganese market is relatively stable. It is expected that the price of ferromanganese bidding for steel mills in August will not change much from August.
3. Manganese mine market
From July 15 to July 19, the price of imported manganese ore was stable this week. Although the demand remained weak, the decline in the price of the mine has slowed down. Recently, the spot inventory of manganese ore imported from the port has decreased slightly, which has effectively eased the pressure on the miners. In addition, with the decline in the price of manganese ore in mainstream minerals, the negative impact on non-mainstream manganese ore is also increasing.
The domestic manganese ore market is still flat this week, and spot transactions are still not much. Due to the drag of manganese alloys and imported manganese ore, the recent domestic manganese ore market continues to be sluggish, and the operating rates of manganese mines in Hunan, Guangxi and Guizhou are not high.
Third, the international market review
This week, the prices of silicomanganese and ferromanganese in Europe and America are relatively stable, and the downstream demand is still weak. The recent market is still difficult to improve; MB's electrolytic manganese price is stable on Wednesday, but the demand for electrolytic manganese is still poor. It is understood that the demand for electrolytic manganese in Europe is mainly from the production of stainless steel. A Ukrainian analyst said that the European stainless steel market is unlikely to improve significantly this year, and the demand for electrolytic manganese will be more pessimistic.
Fourth, the next parade
1. Stainless steel market
Wuxi market: The market price of the coil market rose slightly this week, and the 2 series stopped falling. This week, the consolidation was dominant. The price of the 3 series began to rise. The overall increase was around 200 yuan/ton. The price of the 4 series continued to be stable, and the wait-and-see was the main.
Foshan market: Foshan coil prices rebounded this week, 2 series prices rose steadily, up 100 yuan / ton, 3 series trend was slightly stable, the price rose slightly 100 yuan / ton after the rise of the nickel, 4 series Continue to report.
2. Steel market
According to the latest data of the China Iron and Steel Association on July 17, the average daily output of crude steel in the steel associations in the first ten days of July was 1,694,800 tons, down 3.84% from the previous month; the national average daily output was estimated at 2.083 million tons, down 4.50% from the previous month. The market is sluggish, stocks are high, capital turnover is difficult, and environmental storms have expanded the mill's production stoppage. Recently, the operating rate of domestic steel mills has declined. This can also be seen from the blast furnace survey data. As of July 12, the operating rate of 163 blast furnaces in China was 88.35%, down 0.26% on a week-on-week basis.
V. Forecast of the market outlook
Electrolytic Manganese: Next week, the stainless steel plant will release the just-purchased purchase of electrolytic manganese. Even if the demand is still small, coupled with the support of the obvious decline in cost and spot supply, it is expected that there will be no significant adjustment in the price of electrolytic manganese next week.
Manganese alloy: Steel mills will continue to tender for silicomanganese and ferromanganese next week. The market for silicomanganese and ferromanganese will mainly be wait-and-see, and prices are expected to change little.
Imported manganese ore: The recent decline in the price of imported manganese ore has slowed significantly. As long as there is no significant change in the price of silico-manganese, it is expected that the price of imported manganese ore will not be significantly reduced next week.
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